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1 heimbach 1.1 North Atlantic low-frequency changes of volume and
2     heat transports in the ECCO state estimates
3    
4     K. Lorbacher, A. Koehl and D. Stammer, SIO
5    
6     From a solution of the global ECCO state estimation we
7     diagnose
8     the low-frequency (seasonal to interannual) variability of meridional
9     volume and heat transports between 20N and 60N in the North Atlantic
10     Ocean. The model transports are compared with estimates across the
11     nominal "48N"-section (WOCE/A2) -- reaching from the English Channel
12     to the Grand Banks -- where a coherent hydrographic data set was
13     obtained during seven cruises from 1993 to 2000.
14    
15     The standard deviation of the monthly-mean anomalies of the simulated
16     overturning rate at "48N" amounts to 2 Sv and of the heat transport to
17     0.08 PW, respectively; the year-to-year variability is half of those
18     numbers. In contrast to the model simulations, the observed amplitudes
19     lie 50% above the model transport variations on interannual timescale.
20     The percentage of the different components contributing to the total
21     heat transport in the model is consistent with the estimates from the
22     observations: In the time-mean, the baroclinic component of the heat
23     transport contributes 80% to the total integral and the Ekman component
24     10%. However, the latter explains 90% of the diagnosed low-frequency
25     variability. In the observations the baroclinic component is mainly
26     responsible for interannual variations and thereby changes in the sign
27     of the horizontal component appears to be dynamically relevant. From
28     the model output we compute error bars on the observed transport
29     estimates to test their representativeness of low-frequency variability.

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