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Sensitivities of sea-ice export through Fram Strait in a coupled ocean/sea-ice |
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adjoint modeling framework. |
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P. Heimbach, D. Menemenlis, J.-M. Campin, C. Hill, and M. Losch. |
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Submitted to the EGU2008 Session CR21: Modelling sea ice and ice-ocean |
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interactions. |
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The sensitivity of sea-ice export through Fram Strait to changes in various |
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elements of the ocean and sea-ice state, and to elements of the atmospheric |
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forcing fields through time and space is assessed by means of a coupled |
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ocean/sea-ice adjoint model. The adjoint model furnishes full (two- or |
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three-dimensional) spatial sensitivity maps (also known as Lagrange |
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multipliers) of the export metric to a variety of model variables at any |
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chosen point in time, providing the unique capability to quantify major |
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drivers of sea-ice export variability. The underlying model is the MIT ocean |
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general circulation model (MITgcm), which is coupled to a Hibler-type |
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dynamic/thermodynamic sea-ice model. The configuration is based on the Arctic |
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face of the ECCO2 high-resolution cubed-sphere model, but coarsened to 36-km |
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horizontal grid spacing. The adjoint of the coupled system has been derived by |
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means of automatic differentiation using the software tool TAF. To assess the |
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sensitivity behavior with respect to different basic states, three five-year |
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adjoint simulations have been performed, using realistic atmospheric forcings, |
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(1) covering a phase of high NAO (1977 to 1981), |
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(2) covering a phase of low NAO (1989 to 1993), and |
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(3) covering the recent period (2003 to 2007). |
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The results show a complex interplay between atmospheric forcing patterns, |
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heat transport carried by extensions of the North Atlantic current, and |
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sea-ice evolution. Apparent dominant patterns on various time scales underline |
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the transient nature of the problem. |